Monetary Week Ahead: SA’s Most Recent Development Figures

South Africa’s second-quarter development figures are the highlight of this current week’s local monetary schedule. Economists generally expect an alternate baffling report.

Abroad, the US’s most recent development figures are prone to demonstrate that the world’s biggest economy performed well in the three months to June. Europe’s August swelling upgrade is prone to stoke further concern over the landmass’ wellbeing. What’s more China’s enormous bank profit will be nearly investigated for indications of inconvenience. Here is your aide.

Monetary Week Ahead SA's Most Recent Development Figures


South Africa – Africa’s number two economy – will discharge second-quarter development figures on Tuesday. Most economists expect horrible local item (GDP) to have remained basically level in the April to June period, perhaps developing around 0.8%, quarter on quarter.

South Africa’s economy shrank 0.6% in initial three months of the year and strikes in the platinum and steel segments likely keep development repressed during the time and third quarters of 2014. Authorities at the World Bank, International Monetary Fund and South African Reserve Bank all expect development of short of what 2% for the year overall, well beneath the pace of extension important to make a mark in the nation’s high jobless rate.

Somewhere else on the mainland this week, Nigeria – Africa’s biggest economy – will discharge July’s private division credit and cash supply development figures.

Zambia, Uganda and Kenya will report a month ago’s buyer value list (CPI) readings and Angola will advertise its most recent rates choices. Angola’s most recent expansion figures demonstrated that buyer swelling expanded somewhat in July, finishing a five-month descending pattern.

Regardless of this, with oil generation frustrating in the first a large portion of 2014, the Banco Nacional de Angola is prone to persevere in the rate-extricating cycle it started in 2011 in an offer to further empower development in the as of late sizzling economy.

United States

A month ago’s new homes deals counts will commence America’s information week on Monday. Economists expect the pace of offers to have climbed to an occasionally balanced annualized rate of 430 000 units in July from 406 000 in June. Additional lodging information, alongside tough products and buyer certainty reports, will take after on Tuesday. The S&p/Case-Shiller value record is liable to demonstrate that lodging costs in 20-urban areas rose at a slower pace in the 12-months to June as interest

Sturdy merchandise requests likely expanded 5.1% in general from June to July, yet requests for business supplies may have fallen. The Conference Board’s shopper certainty list presumably pulled back somewhat in August in the wake of climbing to its most abnormal amount of the recuperation a month ago.

Next up, on Thursday, the US trade office’s second gauge of GDP will likely demonstrate that the world’s biggest economy extended by a sound 4% in the second quarter. Development was in all likelihood headed by increases in purchaser using and business speculation.

At last, on Friday, the administration’s most recent individual salary and cost (using) report may demonstrate that wage development maneuvered to 0.3% in July from 0.4% in June and May. Utilization development most likely reduced to 0.2% from 0.4% over the same period.


Europe’s financial week will start on Monday with Germany’s nearly emulated Ifo Institute business study results. Essentially everybody is expecting terrible news, with a few economists guaging that the record could tumble to its most reduced level since May of a year ago.

Later on Monday, Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond and previous chancellor of the Exchequer for the United Kingdom Alistair Darling – pioneers of the “yes” and “no” battles for Scottish freedom, separately – will hold their second broadcast banter in the run-up to September’s vote on the matter.

Current surveys indicate most support to Darling’s position. On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin and his partners from Belarus and Kazakhstan – the three parts of the incipient Eurasian Economic Union – will start exchange converses with Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and agents of the European Union in Minsk.

Addressing ARD TV on Sunday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel cautioned that the first up close and personal gathering in the middle of Putin and Porshenko since the recent took office, “unquestionably won’t bring about a leap forward”. By the by, the discussions will be nearly looked for any indications of advancement on closure the on-setting out for some battling in eastern Ukraine.

On Friday, consideration will movement to the eurozone’s most recent expansion information. Economists anticipate that swelling will have fallen further – prone to 0.3% development from a year prior in August from 0.4% reported in July – putting extra weight on the European Central Bank to do something to animate Europe’s incurable economy.


Farming Bank of China – China’s third biggest moneylender – will report half year comes about on Tuesday. Profit from the nation’s biggest moneylender – Industrial and Commercial Bank of China – will take after on Thursday. Both discharges will be examined for any ascent in non-performing credits.

On Friday, consideration will movement to Japan’s month to month information dump. Authorities in Tokyo will discharge customer swelling, family unit using, retail deals, modern generation and lodging begins information for July. Economists studied by Market News International expect July’s national center buyer value list (CPI) to have climbed 3.3% from year prior, its fourteenth sequential year on year climb.

Barring the impact of April’s utilization expense climb, the rate of development is assessed at 1.3%. Family unit using likely fell 3% from a year prior in July, denoting a fourth sequential month of declining using. Retail deals will probably demonstrate a 0.1% year-on-year drop. The pace of decrease in both measures, notwithstanding, hints at maneuvering as the impacts of the April assessment climb disseminate.

Mechanical creation most likely rose 1% from June to July. On the off chance that affirmed, this would stamp the first build in yield in two months.

July lodging begins likely fell 10.2%, year-on-year, to an occasionally balanced annualized rate of 878 000 units from 883 000 in June.